1 · From AR(1) to VAR (joint dynamics)
How stacking several AR equations into one system lets each variable depend on the lagged values of all the others.
Joint dynamics of several series: estimation, impulse responses, Granger causality.
Course overview
This free course uses real Python and statsmodels in your browser. Work through the modules below with explanations, executable examples, interactive controls, and questions.
How stacking several AR equations into one system lets each variable depend on the lagged values of all the others.
How a VAR is fit equation-by-equation with OLS, and how information criteria pick the lag length p.
Tracing how a one-time shock to one variable ripples through the system over time, and how to split forecast uncertainty across shocks.
Testing whether one variable's past helps predict another, and producing and reading multi-step VAR forecasts.